The scoop: Championship week

Unless some major upsets happen, the BCS championship game looks like it is set in stone between #1 LSU and #2 Alabama. The Big East title is up for grabs as no one has seized control of that conference all season and the Pac-12 championship game might as well be practice for Oregon.

On to the picks…. 

#24 West Virginia (8-3, 4-2 Big East) at South Florida (5-6, 1-5 Big East)
Line: West Virginia by 1.5.
The scoop: The Big East is a mess like it always is and West Virginia can wrap up the title with a victory, based on having the conference’s highest BCS ranking. South Florida is fighting for its bowl playing lives and have lost five of six games overall.
West Virginia 33, South Florida 24.


Pacific 12 Conference Championship
UCLA (6-6, 5-4 Pac-12) vs. #8 Oregon (10-2, 8-1 Pac-12)         Line: Oregon by 31.5.
The scoop: This week’s scrimmage….in a “championship” game…that is all.
Oregon 52, UCLA 17.


Mid-American Conference Championship
Ohio (9-3, 6-2 MAC) vs. Northern Illinois (9-3, 7-1 MAC)
Line: Northern Illinois by 3.5.
The scoop: Both teams have strong running attacks and Northern Illinois will be making their second straight appearance in this game. The Huskies win with a little more defense and a little more balance than Ohio.
Northern Illinois 34, Ohio 25.


Conference USA Conference Championship
#24 Southern Mississippi (10-2, 6-2 C-USA) vs. #7 Houston (12-0, 8-0 C-USA)                 
Line: Houston by 14.
The scoop: Victory by the Cougars basically locks up a BCS berth. This game will be played in Houston, where the Cougars’ previous six opponents have gotten blown out by an average of 36 points a game. Southern Miss’ pass defense is decent but will have a long afternoon if they don’t get turnovers and get pressure on record-setting QB Case Keenum.
Houston 56, Southern Miss 31.


Iowa State (6-5, 3-5 Big 12) at #16 Kansas State (9-2, 6-2 Big 12)
Line: Kansas St. by 10.5.
The scoop: Raise your hands if you thought Kansas State would have a chance to win 10 games this year….Everyone’s hands should be down.
Kansas St. 34, Iowa St. 21.


UNLV (2-9, 1-5 MWC) at #18 TCU (9-2, 6-0 MWC)                    Line:  TCU by 38.5.
The scoop: Only two teams in the nation are worse at throwing the ball than UNLV and those would be a couple of service academies (Army, Navy) that hardly attempt the forward pass.  Game over when the Rebels step off the bus.
TCU 56, UNLV 10.


Texas (7-4, 4-4 Big 12) at #19 Baylor (8-3, 5-3 Big 12)                  Line: Baylor by 3.
The scoop: Baylor QB Robert Griffin has a chance to get to 10,000 career yards passing and possibly carve his name into the Heisman Trophy. Texas better not get behind because their offense is not equipped to come back from huge deficits.
Baylor 40, Texas 31.


Southeastern Conference Championship
#12 Georgia (10-2, 7-1 SEC) vs. #1 LSU (12-0, 8-0 SEC)                       Line: LSU by 14.
The scoop: The best defense this side of Alabama, LSU likes making teams one-dimensional so Georgia must be balanced and not turn the ball over. Easier said than done, as LSU forces turnovers better than anyone.
LSU 42, Georgia 24.


New Mexico (1-10, 1-5 MWC) at #9 Boise State (10-1, 5-1 MWC)        Line: Boise St. by 49.
The scoop: The 49-point spread says it all about this game. New Mexico allows their opponents to convert 58 percent of their 3rd down conversions, by far the worst in the nation. The Lobos also average a pitiful 13 points per game…once again, dead last in America.
Boise St. 60, New Mexico 13.


Atlantic Coast Conference Championship                                                     
#5 Virginia Tech (11-1, 7-1 ACC) vs. #21 Clemson (9-3, 6-2 ACC)
Line: Virginia Tech by 7.5.
The scoop: That 23-3 beatdown Clemson handed Virginia Tech two months ago means nothing now. Clemson has turned the ball over 12 times in the last four games and it’s no wonder they have lost three of those contests.
Virginia Tech 34, Clemson 30.


#13 Oklahoma (9-2, 6-2 Big 12) at #3 Oklahoma State (10-1, 7-1 Big 12)
Line: Oklahoma St. by 3.5.
The scoop: The ability to take away the ball covers the Cowboys obvious weaknesses on defense.  Oklahoma’s defense is nothing to write home about either. Whoever limits the mistakes and the big plays, will win. This has all the makings of a no-defense, 4-hour marathon.
Oklahoma St. 45, Oklahoma 37.


Big 10 Conference Championship
#15 Wisconsin (10-2, 6-2 Big 10) vs. #11 Michigan State (10-2, 7-1 Big 10)
Line: Wisconsin by 10.
The scoop: Both teams have won four games in a row and this is a rematch of the classic game Michigan State won with a Hail Mary. Badgers QB Russell Wilson was picked off twice in that contest and hasn’t thrown an interception since. He also has thrown a TD pass in 36 straight games.
Wisconsin 38, Michigan St. 27.


Last week: 14-2 (straight up), 9-6-1 (against the spread)
Overall: 206-49 (straight up); 112-120-4 (against the spread)


~ by Scooby Axson on November 30, 2011.

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