The scoop: Week 13, Rivalry Week

It’s rivalry week and it’s time to put up or shut up. For those who want to see total confusion, another weekend of upsets just might do it. Huge stakes are on the line in several games (Houston-Tulsa, Penn State-Wisconsin, Arkansas-LSU, Virginia Tech-Virginia). Enjoy the holiday football, everyone.

On to the picks….

Iowa (7-4, 4-3 Big 10) at  #22 Nebraska (8-3, 4-3 Big 10)                 Line: Nebraska by 9.5.
The scoop: An early preseason favorite for the Big 10, Nebraska has been plagued by an inconsistent offense and a disappointing defense. Iowa has split its last four games and must depend heavily on workhouse RB Marcus Coker.
Nebraska 31, Iowa 20.


#8 Houston (11-0, 7-0 C-USA) at Tulsa (8-3, 7-0 C-USA)               Line: Houston by 3.5.
The scoop: Another week…another NCAA record in reach for Houston QB Case Keenum. He needs one more 300-yard passing game to take over in that category. Tulsa is no slouch, either, having won seven in a row.
Tulsa 38, Houston 34.


#3 Arkansas (10-1, 6-1 SEC) at #1 LSU (11-0, 7-0 SEC)                           Line: LSU by 12.
The scoop: LSU has won 16 in a row at home and is predicated on shutting teams down and creating turnovers, leading the nation in turnover margin. Arkansas boasts the conference’s top ranked offense.
LSU 28, Arkansas 14.


#13 Georgia (9-2) at #25 Georgia Tech (8-3)                    Line: Georgia by 6.
The scoop: Georgia Tech is going to have an issue running the ball as Georgia boasts the second-ranked rush defense in the country. Winners of nine in a row, the Bulldogs have already wrapped up the SEC East.
Georgia 38, Georgia Tech 28.


Iowa State (6-4, 3-4 Big 12) at #12 Oklahoma (8-2, 5-2 Big 12)
Line: Oklahoma by 28.5.
The scoop: Oklahoma has no business losing to teams like Iowa State (or Texas Tech and Baylor for that matter), but as well as the defense can get to the quarterback, their secondary continues to a huge problem. The Sooners are staring straight at the Alamo Bowl if this trend continues.
Oklahoma 49, Iowa St. 20.


#11 Michigan State (9-2, 6-1 Big 10) at Northwestern (6-5, 3-4 Big 10)
Line: Michigan St. by 7.
The scoop: It’s senior day for Northwestern and nothing would give them more pleasure than to destroy the Spartans BCS hopes. Even though they have six wins, Northwestern still could be sitting at home for the holidays if they don’t win this game.
Michigan St. 41, Northwestern 27.


Ohio State (6-5, 3-4 Big 10) at #17 Michigan (9-2, 5-2 Big 10)              Line: Michigan by 7.5.
The scoop: This is supposed to be a rivalry and lately everything has gone in Ohio State’s way, having beaten the Wolverines seven straight times. Michigan can now play some defense, allowing an impressive 15 points a game.
Michigan 34, Ohio St. 21.


Wyoming (7-3, 4-1 MWC) at #7 Boise State (9-1, 4-1 MWC)                   Line: Boise St. by 32.5.
The scoop: Boise State is looking to creep back up into the BCS bowl conversation and needs to win impressively and have teams ahead of them lose, which is a good possibly in the last weeks of the season. Wyoming has had issues stopping the run all season so the game plan for Boise is pretty easy.
Boise St. 52, Wyoming 17.


#6 Virginia Tech (10-1, 6-1 ACC) at #24 Virginia (8-3, 5-2 ACC)
Line: Virginia Tech by 4.5.
The scoop: No one really knows what team Virginia Tech will bring to the field on any given week. They are not dominant in any one phase, yet is in a position to compete for a BCS bowl. Virginia is relevant again and will win the ACC’s Coastal Division with a victory.
Virginia 28, Virginia Tech 23.


#20 Penn State (9-2, 6-1 Big 10) at #15 Wisconsin (9-2, 5-2 Big 10)
Line: Wisconsin by 15.
The scoop: Penn State’s defense has given up 20 points to only two opponents all season and wraps up the Leaders Division with a victory. The Nittany Lions beat Wisconsin by 41 points in their last visit to Madison three seasons ago.
Wisconsin 37, Penn St. 13.


Oregon State (3-8, 3-5 Pac-12) at #9 Oregon (9-2, 7-1 Pac-12)                Line: Oregon by 28.
The scoop: This is the 115th meeting between the schools, and Oregon will host the Pac-12 championship game with a victory.  Oregon has won the past three meetings.
Oregon 56, Oregon St. 21.


#2 Alabama (10-1, 6-1 SEC) at Auburn (7-4, 4-3 SEC)                    Line: Alabama by 21.
The scoop: Auburn will be hard pressed to move the ball against the nation’s best defense and Alabama will be looking for revenge after blowing a 24-point lead in last season’s game. Alabama is the nation’s leader is every important defensive category.
Alabama 38, Auburn 14.


Texas Tech (5-6, 2-6 Big 12) at #21 Baylor (7-3, 4-3 Big 12)                   Line: Baylor by 13.
The scoop: Texas Tech is an absolute mess and after watching Baylor carve up Oklahoma’s defense last week, the Red Raiders know they are in for a long day. Their defense is one of the worst in the nation (as usual) and Baylor QB Robert Griffin’s Heisman campaign is officially in full swing.
Baylor 58, Texas Tech 40.


#18 Clemson (9-2) at #14 South Carolina (9-2)                          Line: South Carolina by 4.5.
The scoop: Clemson still boasts a powerful offense…when they don’t turn the ball over as evidence last week against North Carolina State. How South Carolina has won nine games with their offense is anyone’s guess, but this game is about bowl positioning.
South Carolina 30, Clemson 28.


#23 Notre Dame (8-3) at #4 Stanford (10-1)                   Line: Stanford by 7.
The scoop: Stanford QB Andrew Luck is one step closer to winning the Heisman and a huge performance here would mostly likely end the debate.
Stanford 35, Notre Dame 24.


UCLA (6-5, 5-3 Pac-12) at #10 USC (9-2, 6-2 Pac-12)                       Line:  USC by 14.5.
The scoop: No one wants to play USC right now and with good reason. UCLA wins the South Division with a victory. USC QB Matt Barkley leads the conference with 33 TD’s.
USC 35, UCLA 14.

Off this week: #5 Oklahoma State, # 16 Kansas State,  #19 TCU


Last week:
13-9 (straight up)
5-15 (against the spread)

192-47 (straight up)
103-114-3 (against the spread)


~ by Scooby Axson on November 23, 2011.

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