The Scoop, Week 12

Now that the pretenders are out of the way, there are several one-loss teams that are in the title chase hunt. Alabama, Oregon, Oklahoma, Clemson, and Virginia Tech need some serious help to make it to the championship, while Houston continues to beat up on the teams on their JV schedule and are very close to a big time BCS payday.


On to the picks….

#22 Southern Mississippi (9-1, 5-1 C-USA) at UAB (2-8, 2-5 C-USA)
Southern Miss. by 23.
The scoop: Southern Miss. hasn’t won 10 games since the Brett Favre era, but UAB has beaten the Eagles each of the past two years. Don’t look for a trifecta in this series.
Southern Miss. 48, UAB 14.


North Carolina (6-4, 2-4 ACC) at #9 Virginia Tech (9-1, 5-1 ACC)
Virginia Tech by 11.
The scoop: The Hokies need a win and a Virginia loss to wrap up the ACC’s Coastal Division. Virginia Tech has won six of seven in the series.
Virginia Tech 31, North Carolina 17.


#2 Oklahoma State (10-0, 7-0 Big 12) at Iowa State (5-4, 2-4 Big 12)
Oklahoma St. by 27.
The scoop: Oklahoma State is on a roll and despite glaring deficiencies on defense, they are destroying teams. After this game, Oklahoma comes to town so those weaknesses better be corrected quickly.
Oklahoma State 54, Iowa St. 20.


#17 Nebraska (8-2, 4-2 Big 10) at #20 Michigan (8-2, 4-2 Big 10)              Line: Michigan by 4.
The scoop: Quarterback play decides this one. Both Michigan and Nebraska have strong running games, so expect lots of eight man fronts from both teams and the best efficiency in the air pulls out a close victory.
Nebraska 34, Michigan 28.


#15 Wisconsin (8-2, 4-2 Big 10) at Illinois (6-4, 2-4 Big 10)                  Line: Wisconsin by 14.5.
The scoop: Wisconsin QB Russell Wilson leads the nation in passing efficiency and with a ridiculous 11.08 yards per attempted pass. The Badgers also roll up almost 500 yards per game and Illinois is reeling having lost four in a row.
Wisconsin 47, Illinois 28.


Indiana (1-9, 0-6 Big 10) at #12 Michigan State (8-2, 5-1 Big 10)
Michigan St. by 28.5.
The scoop: All you need to know about this game: Indiana is dead last in the Big 10 in every defense category that matters. Run up the score at will, Spartans.
Michigan St. 54, Indiana 17.


The Citadel (4-6) at #14 South Carolina (8-2)          Line: No Line
The scoop: This week’s scrimmage…..that is all.
South Carolina 45, The Citadel 9.


Kentucky (4-6, 1-5 SEC) at #13 Georgia (8-2, 6-1 SEC)                     Line: Georgia by 31.
The scoop: Georgia is the wrong team for anyone to be playing now, having won eight in a row.  Kentucky was routed by 30 to Vanderbilt last week; yes, Vanderbilt. Their chances of winning this one on the road: less than zero.
Georgia 37, Kentucky 10.


Georgia Southern (9-1) at #3 Alabama (9-1)               Line: No Line
The scoop: Georgia Southern is no slouch….in the FCS (they are ranked #2 and even received a vote in the AP Poll) and has lost all 18 meetings with FBS opponents.  No opponent has scored more than 14 points this season on Alabama; so don’t expect it here either.
Alabama 38, Georgia Southern 7.


#7 Clemson (9-1, 6-1 ACC) at North Carolina State (5-5, 2-4 ACC)                   Line: Clemson by 8.
The scoop: Having already secured a seat at the ACC title game, Clemson can now focus on trying to inch their way into a better bowl slot. The Wolfpack needs this victory bad or it will be staying home for the holidays.
Clemson 28, NC State 21.


Colorado State (3-6, 1-3 MWC) at #19 TCU (8-2, 5-0 MWC)       Line: TCU by 33.
The scoop: The Horned Frogs have won 22 straight conference games and has beaten Colorado State seven straight times.
TCU 52, Colorado St. 13.


#21 Penn State (8-2, 5-1 Big 10) at Ohio State (6-4, 3-3 Big 10)               Line: Ohio St. by 7.
The scoop: “The Interim Coach” Bowl will feature two teams that have struggled the majority of the year on offense. Ohio State still doesn’t understand the concept of the forward pass ranking 118th out of 120 teams in passing offense. Penn State isn’t efficiency at passing either, but only allows 12 points a game.
Ohio St. 24, Penn St. 14.


Mississippi State (5-5, 1-5 SEC) at #6 Arkansas (9-1, 5-1 SEC) in Little Rock, Ark.     
Line: Arkansas by 13.5.
The scoop: Arkansas can’t afford to look ahead to the huge showdown next week against top-ranked LSU. Mississippi State averages a pitiful 17 yards per kickoff return and must win one of its final two games to become bowl eligible.
Arkansas 30, Mississippi St. 14.


SMU (6-4, 4-2 C-USA) at #11 Houston (10-0, 6-0 C-USA)                      Line: Houston by 20.
The scoop: Another NCAA record will bite the dust for Houston QB Case Keenum this week. He needs seven completions to become the all-time leader in that category. Houston leads the nation in passing, scoring, and total offense.
Houston 47, SMU 34.


Boston College (3-7) at #24 Notre Dame (7-3)                      Line: Notre Dame by 24.5.
The scoop: Boston College is just plain pitiful. They possess zero offensive skill, can’t stop the pass and can’t create a pass rush if their life depended on it.  Is it hockey season yet for the Eagles?
Notre Dame 44, Boston College 17.


#1 LSU (10-0, 7-0 SEC) at Mississippi (2-8, 0-6 SEC)         Line: LSU by 29.5.
The scoop: Ole Miss won’t have their starting quarterback and leading rusher for this game because they have been suspended. Well, that took all the suspense out of this game.
LSU 38, Ole Miss 6.


#16 Kansas State (8-2, 5-2 Big 12) at Texas (6-3, 3-3 Big 12)                 Line: Texas by 9.5.
The scoop: That experiment that Texas tried by running the ball the past two weeks to hide their quarterback’s obvious flaws backfired big time last week against Missouri. They better find efficient quarterback play soon on they will run into a similar fate against a stingy Wildcat team.
Texas 31, Kansas St. 28.


Virginia (7-3, 4-2 ACC) at  #23 Florida State (7-3, 5-2 ACC)                  Line: Florida St. by 17.
The scoop: Florida State is getting back to play stout defense, leading the conference in tackles for loss, rushing, scoring and total defense.  Virginia, winners of five of six, must be balanced to have any chance.
Florida St. 35, Virginia 24.


#18 USC (8-2, 5-2 Pac-12) at #4 Oregon (9-1, 7-0 Pac-12)               Line: Oregon by 15.
The scoop: Speed kills and USC is going to get a heavy dose of the running game from Oregon. Too bad the Trojans are on probation or this would be a preview of the Pac-12 title game.
Oregon 49, USC 30.


 #5 Oklahoma (8-1, 5-1 Big 12) at #25 Baylor (6-3, 3-3 Big 12)           Line: Oklahoma by 15.
The scoop: Oklahoma has won all 20 meetings with Baylor and still has an outside chance at a championship bid if they win out.
Oklahoma 47, Baylor 24.


#10 Boise State (8-1, 3-1 MWC) at San Diego State (5-3, 2-2 MWC)         Line: Boise St. by 18.
The scoop: Boise State can now enjoy the land of irrelevance from here on out.  The Las Vegas Bowl awaits the Broncos because of another special teams breakdown.
Boise St. 40, San Diego St. 16.


California (6-4, 3-4 Pac-12) at #8 Stanford (9-1, 7-1 Pac-12)              Line: Stanford by 19.
The scoop: Stanford still has an outside shot at a BCS bowl even though they were exposed by Oregon who used extreme speed to overwhelm the Cardinal.  The Big Game is still big…in Northern California.
Stanford 38, California 13.


Last week:
15-5 (straight up)
9-8-2 (against the spread)

179-38 (straight up)
98-99-3 (against the spread)


~ by Scooby Axson on November 16, 2011.

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